setembro 20, 2007

"Al Qaeda pede aos seus seguidores que 'limpem' o Magrebe dos 'filhos de Espanha e França’ in El Mundo, 20 de Setembro de 2007


EL CAIRO.- El número dos de la red terrorista Al Qaeda, Ayman al Zawahiri, ha instado a sus seguidores a "limpiar" el Magreb de los "hijos de España y Francia", al tiempo que ha asegurado, en un nuevo vídeo dado a conocer este jueves, que Estados Unidos está siendo derrotado en Afganistán e Irak, seis años después de los ataques terroristas del 11 de septiembre en Washington y Nueva York. En un vídeo en el que también pidió que se ataque a las fuerzas de paz de la ONU y africanas que sean desplegadas en la región sudanesa de Darfur, Al Zawahiri instó a sus partidarios a "limpiar el Magreb de los hijos de Francia y España", aunque las alusiones a España son muy breves."Apoyad con vuestros hijos a los muyahidines que luchan contra los cruzados y sus hijos", proclama Zawahiri, un médico egipcio nacido en 1951 al que se supone escondido, como el mismo Bin Laden, en las montañas de Afganistán o Pakistán. Al Zawahiri se incorporó a Al Qaeda en 1995, dos años después de haber sido expulsado de Pakistán y tras vivir varios meses en Sudán. No es esta la primera vez que Al Qaeda alude a España, aunque en otras ocasiones las referencias eran exclusivamente a Al Andalus, tierra que según Al Qaeda había que recuperar para el Islam. También el vídeo hace referencia a la presencia islámica en España (entre los siglos VIII y XV), y el prófugo egipcio dice que "es un deber recuperar Al Andalus para la nación (islámica) en general y vosotros (muyahidín) en particular". Sin embargo, es la primera vez en que hacen alusión a la presencia de España en el norte de África, donde efectivamente hay importantes intereses comerciales y culturales y donde, en el caso de Marruecos, vive una numerosa comunidad española. En el vídeo de Zawahiri, el lugarteniente de Osama bin Laden dedica la mayor parte de su discurso a criticar el régimen paquistaní de Pervez Musharraf y califica al ejército de Pakistán de "perros de presa bajo el crucifijo de (el presidente de EEUU, George) Bush". La grabación fue transmitida días después de que el máximo líder de Al Qaeda, Osama bin Laden, divulgara dos mensajes con motivo del 11-S que incluyeron su primera presentación en vídeo en casi tres años. El nuevo vídeo de Al Zawahiri, de 80 minutos, fue colgado en páginas islamistas y tiene el formato de documental. En él, se presentan actividades de Al Qaeda en varios lugares, como Irak, Afganistán, Somalia y el norte de África. "La que dicen que es la potencia más poderosa en la historia de la Humanidad (en referencia a Estados Unidos) está siendo hoy en día derrotada frente a las vanguardias musulmanas de la yihad (guerra santa), seis años después de las dos incursiones sobre Nueva York y Washington", dijo Al Zawahiri, mientras sostenía un fusil automático apoyado en su cuerpo, en lo que parecía una oficina provista de estanterías con libros religiosos. "Los cruzados han sido testigos de su derrota en Afganistán, a manos de los leones de los talibanes", aseguró. "Los cruzados han sido testigos de su propia derrota en Irak a manos de los muyahidines, que han llevado la batalla del Islam al corazón del mundo islámico", continuó.

Reacción de Argelia
Un portavoz de la Dirección Nacional de seguridad argelina dijo que las amenazas de Al Qaeda contra españoles y franceses residentes en el Magreb deben ser "tomadas en serio". Este portavoz señaló que, después de los atentados perpetrados este mes en las ciudades argelinas de Batna y Dellys, se han extremado las medidas de protección de dependencias oficiales y, en el caso de la capital, de las misiones diplomáticas establecidas en ellas. La 'islamización' de España es una hipótesis radical que defiende Al Qaeda aludiendo a la presencia musulmana en la península ibérica, y en particular en Andalucía desde el año 711 hasta la caída de Granada en enero de 1492.
http://www.elmundo.es/elmundo/2007/09/20/internacional/1190282664.html?a=51c836b78f4af9342ccb0820a7675d5d&t=1190305747
JPTF 2007/09/20

"Mulheres sauditas querem conduzir" in El Pais, 20 de Setembro de 2007


Se admiten apuestas, pero la mayoría de los observadores firmaría dos contra uno a que no van a conseguirlo. Las mujeres saudíes vuelven a la carga para reclamar su derecho a conducir. Al menos, una parte de ellas. Porque todavía hay en el Reino de Arabia Saudí, el único país del mundo que prohíbe ponerse al volante a sus ciudadanas, muchas que apoyan tan peculiar restricción. Quienes desean dejarla atrás planean entregar una petición al rey Abdalá el próximo domingo, coincidiendo con la fiesta nacional.

Por primera vez, las interesadas se han organizado en un Comité de Demandantes del Derecho de las Mujeres a Conducir Coches. El grupo busca el apoyo no sólo de los saudíes, sino de gente de todo el mundo, ya que la prohibición de conducir se extiende a todas las extranjeras que viven en Arabia Saudí o visitan el país.

"Pedimos que se devuelva a las mujeres el derecho de conducir", exige la carta colgada en varios sitios de Internet saudíes. "Es un derecho que disfrutaron nuestras madres y nuestras abuelas, que tuvieron total libertad para utilizar los medios de transporte de su tiempo".

Las fuentes consultadas coinciden en señalar que la prohibición no está ni en el islam ni en las leyes. Son edictos religiosos de destacados ulemas los que afirman que las mujeres al volante pueden crear "situaciones de tentación pecaminosa", en referencia a la eventualidad de que las conductoras tengan que interactuar con policías o mecánicos, en un país donde se practica la segregación sexual en la esfera pública. Nadie parece reparar en la contradicción que supone compartir el pequeño espacio de un coche con un hombre ajeno a tu familia al tener que recurrir a los servicios de un chófer.

"La prohibición emana de una interpretación estricta de la necesidad de que las mujeres estén siempre acompañadas en público por un mehram [custodio legal]", afirma la periodista Ebtihal Mubarak. Tal requerimiento, como muchos otros que constriñen las libertades individuales en Arabia Saudí, muestra el peso de los sectores más conservadores de la sociedad.

Un primer intento de conducir llevó una noche a la cárcel en 1990 a las 47 mujeres que osaron manifestarse al volante por el centro de Riad. Las autoridades les requisaron los pasaportes y quienes tenían empleos gubernamentales los perdieron. Hace dos años, cuando un miembro de la Asamblea Consultiva, Mohamed al Zalfa, planteó el asunto en ese foro de designación real, hubo quien propuso que se le despojara de la nacionalidad saudí.

Y eso que Al Zalfa no entraba en consideraciones morales. Simplemente calculó que el coste anual del cerca de millón de conductores extranjeros que trasladan a las saudíes al trabajo, al dentista o a la peluquería suponía el equivalente a 2.600 millones de euros al año. Eso para las familias que pueden costear los 300 euros mensuales que de media cuesta el servicio. En muchos otros casos, los hombres de recursos más modestos terminan pluriempleados como chóferes de las mujeres de su familia.

Esas dificultades han sido materia prima para uno de los típicos culebrones de Ramadán de este año. En Amsha bint Ammash, la protagonista se queda huérfana de padre y, ante la imposibilidad de encontrar empleo, se disfraza de hombre para emplearse como taxista. El tabú se ha roto y desde hace meses existe un debate público en el reino.

"Las mujeres necesitan conducir, es una necesidad básica", ha declarado a la prensa local Fauziya al Oyuni, una de las organizadoras de la recogida de firmas y conocida activista de los derechos humanos. Al Oyuni recordó que el rey Abdalá ha reconocido con anterioridad que no se trata de una cuestión política, sino social. Sin embargo, el monarca difícilmente tomará una decisión tan simbólica sin un consenso previo de la sociedad.
http://www.elpais.com/articulo/ultima/mujeres/saudies/quieren/conducir/elpepuint/20070920elpepiult_1/Tes
JPTF 2007/09/20

setembro 17, 2007

"Detenção canadiana ligada a suspeitos de terrorismo na Áustria" in Der Spiegel on line, 14 de Setembro de 2007


Police in Quebec have arrested a terrorist suspect on charges of conspiracy to set off bombs in Austria and Germany. He is accused of helping to run a jihadist Web site in Canada and of having links with a cell of al-Qaida propagandists in Vienna.

While Austrian police arrested three suspected operators of a jihadist Web site on Wednesday in Vienna, Royal Canadian Mounted Police closed in on one of their colleagues, Said Namouh, in a town in the Canadian province of Quebec.

He was accused of conspiracy to bomb targets outside Canada. The 35-year-old man, reportedly Moroccan by descent, lived near Maskinongé, Quebec, and was allegedly involved in procuring explosives and making online threats against the governments of Austria and Germany last spring. Canada was reportedly not a target.

The Vienna group (more...) consisted of a married couple and a friend who are all accused of producing a video which threatened attacks on Germany and Austria last March. The six-minute film warned of violence if the governments of both countries failed to pull troops out of Afghanistan.

In March, Austria had a total of five officers in Afghanistan.

The video appeared on the German-language home page of the Global Islamic Media Front, a propaganda Web site for al-Qaida. Its producers seem to have taken inspiration from a cell in Canada, possibly from Namouh himself. The English-language edition of GIMF has been based in Canada since 2002, and authorities say the alleged head of the Vienna cell, Mohammed M., approached the Canadians by e-mail to volunteer help on a German-language site. "He more or less asked how you set something like that up," said a German security official.
The German-language site went online in 2005.

GIMF is an organizational tool for al-Qaida sympathizers, who communicate in discussion forums, trade information and radicalize new recruits. But German security official say the cell arrested in Vienna was not actively planning an attack. "They were more like armchair jihadists," said one official.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,505801,00.html
JPTF 2007/09/17

setembro 13, 2007

"Al-Qaeda e os seus aliados: uma ameça mundial" in The Guardian, 13 de Setembro de 2007


The IISS survey claims al-Qaida is resurgent and capable of "carrying out large-scale attacks in the western world". It also points out that the organisation has acquired a string of affiliates in Iraq, northern Africa and elsewhere prepared to carry out attacks to further Osama bin Laden's objectives. Meanwhile, the war in Iraq has provided both a recruiting tool for al-Qaida and a "crucible" for producing "hardened jihadists", the IISS argues.

There is no dispute that al-Qaida is recovering from its apparent near-extinction in the mountains of Afghanistan in late 2001. But terrorism experts question whether Bin Laden's followers have regained their pre-2001 capacity.

"As an absolute fact they are not back at their 9/11 strength," said Peter Bergen, an authority on Bin Laden and al-Qaida at the New America Foundation in Washington. He pointed out that in 2001, al-Qaida had the run of most of Afghanistan for bases and training camps. Its current room for manoeuvre in Pakistan's tribal areas is more limited.

Mr Bergen also expressed doubt that al-Qaida had the same capacity to mount a spectacular attack on US territory. "If there are sleeper cells still in America, they must be comatose. And the American-Muslim community do not seem susceptible to al-Qaida ideology."

However, he said Bin Laden's organisation had shown a clear capacity to launch coordinated and large-scale assaults in Europe, particularly in Britain, and could be capable of a "7/7 attack every year" - a reference to the coordinated London bombings in July 2005.

Steven Monblatt, a former counter-terrorism coordinator at the US state department now at the British American Security Information Council, said: "There is no doubt al-Qaida has strengthened its capability in the last year and a half." But he added: "Most western countries that are potential targets have also reconstituted their defence capacity."

Iran

The survey says that Iran has installed 3,000 gas centrifuges for enriching uranium at its plant in Natanz, in central Iran, and the IISS authors estimate a worst-case scenario that Iran would be able to produce enough weapons-grade uranium for a bomb by 2009 or 2010.

Iran insists it has the right to enrich uranium, which it says is exclusively for generating electricity, and it has defied UN security resolutions calling for it to suspend enrichment. Tehran claims it now has 3,000 centrifuges at Natanz. If dedicated to producing highly enriched weapons grade uranium and if working perfectly, that would be enough to produce enough fissile material for a bomb in about a year. But the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) believes the true figure is nearer 2,000. The IAEA's environmental samples also suggested that Iran had not yet reached the 4.8% enrichment level it is claiming, let alone 90% weapons grade enrichment.

"Their machines are operating inefficiently, partly because of technical problems and because of political self-constraint," said David Albright, a former UN weapons inspector and nuclear expert, who now runs the Institute for Science and International Security. However, he agrees with the IISS estimate that Iran could have enough fissile material for a bomb by 2009, particularly as there is no way of knowing, with the current limits on IAEA's investigative capacity in Iran, whether the Iranian military has a secret enrichment programme running in parallel with the visible programme in Natanz.

Climate Change

The IISS report highlights the security implications of climate change, warning that it could inflict catastrophic damage "on the level of a nuclear war". Apart from direct impact on sea levels, weather and agriculture, it would trigger mass migration and conflicts over ever-scarcer resources. "Climate change is at the heart of both national and collective security," the report says.

Some experts question the comparison with nuclear war. Global warming is setting in more gradually and with more warning than a nuclear exchange. But the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the authority on the subject, does suggest the cumulative effects could be equally devastating.

Daniel Mittler, a climate change expert at Greenpeace, said the comparison was "perfectly reasonable".

"It's clear that climate change is the most dramatic challenge humanity faces today. We can't say every one of these disasters will hit, but it's clear that these kind of events will become more frequent and more severe. It is a sad indictment of the politicians who have known about the problem for a number of years," he said.

Iraq

The survey delivers a pessimistic outlook for Iraq. It is sceptical about the strength and integrity of Iraqi forces, and about the capacity or willingness of Nuri al-Maliki's government to forge a national consensus. The cabinet is crippled by corruption, it says. Faced with the continued failure of the Maliki government to strengthen its hold, it argues that the Bush administration has "two stark choices": to carry on as before in the face of continuing troop losses or make a radical change, probably involving a new prime minister.

Claire Spencer, the head of the Middle East programme at the Chatham House thinktank, agreed the Iraqi government had failed to exert any control outside the "green zone" in Baghdad. However, she suggested that there was a growing realisation in Washington that the parliament and cabinet were so hopelessly split along sectarian lines that it would be better to support local self-government to rebuild "from the bottom up".

"Things are stabilising at the periphery much faster than they are at the centre," she said.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/alqaida/story/0,,2167870,00.html
JPTF 2007/09/13

setembro 12, 2007

"A guerra por ‘procuração‘: tropas britânicas enviadas para a fronteira iraniana" in The Independent, 12 de Setembro de 2007


British forces have been sent from Basra to the volatile border with Iran amid warnings from the senior US commander in Iraq that Tehran is fomenting a "proxy war".

In signs of a fast-developing confrontation, the Iranians have threatened military action in response to attacks launched from Iraqi territory while the Pentagon has announced the building of a US base and fortified checkpoints at the frontier.

The UK operation, in which up to 350 troops are involved, has come at the request of the Americans, who say that elements close to the Iranian regime have stepped up supplies of weapons to Shia militias in recent weeks in preparation for attacks inside Iraq.

The deployment came within a week of British forces leaving Basra Palace, their last remaining base inside Basra city, and withdrawing to the airport for a widely expected final departure from Iraq. Brigadier James Bashall, commander of 1 Mechanised Brigade, based at Basra said: "We have been asked to help at the Iranian border to stop the flow of weapons and I am willing to do so. We know the points of entry and I am sure we can do what needs to be done. The US forces are, as we know, engaged in the 'surge' and the border is of particular concern to them."

The mission will include the King's Royal Hussars battle group, 250 of whom were told at the weekend that they would be returning to the UK as part of a drawdown of forces in Iraq.

The operation is regarded as a high-risk strategy which could lead to clashes with Iranian-backed Shia militias or even Iranian forces and also leaves open the possibility of Iranian retaliation in the form of attacks against British forces at the Basra air base or inciting violence to draw them back into Basra city. Relations between the two countries are already fraught after the Iranian Revolutionary Guards seized a British naval party in the Gulf earlier this year.

The move came as General David Petraeus, the US commander in Iraq, and Ryan Crocker, the US ambassador to Iraq, made some of the strongest accusations yet by US officials about Iranian activity. General Petraeus spoke on Monday of a "proxy war" in Iraq, while Mr Crocker accused the Iranian government of "providing lethal capabilities to the enemies of the Iraqi state".

In an interview after his appearance before a congressional panel on Monday, General Petraeus strongly implied that it would soon be necessary to obtain authorisation to take action against Iran within its own borders, rather than just inside Iraq. "There is a pretty hard look ongoing at that particular situation" he said.

The Royal Welsh battle group, with Challenger tanks and Warrior armoured vehicles, is conducting out regular exercises at the Basra air base in preparation for any re-entry into the city. No formal handover of Basra to the Iraqi government has yet taken place and the UK remains responsible for maintaining security in the region.

The Iraqi commander in charge of the southern part of the country, General Mohan al-Furayji, said he would not hesitate to call for British help if there was an emergency.

While previous US military action has been primarily directed against Sunni insurgents, it is Shia fighters, which the US accuses Iran of backing, who now account for 80 per cent of US casualties.

For the British military the move to the border is a change of policy. They had stopped patrols along the long border at Maysan despite US concerns at the time that the area would become a conduit for weapons into Iraq.

The decision to return to the frontier has been heavily influenced by the highly charged and very public dispute with the United States. British commanders feel that they cannot turn down the fresh American request for help after refusing to delay the withdrawal from Basra Palace. They also maintain that the operation will stop Iranian arms entering Basra.

Brigadier Bashall said: "We are not sitting here idly at the air bridge. The security of Basra is still our responsibility and we shall act where necessary. We are also prepared to restore order in Basra City if asked to do so."

The US decision to build fortifications at the Iranian border, after four years of presence in Iraq, shows, say American commanders, that the "Iranian threat" is now one of their main concerns.

Maj-Gen Rick Lynch, commander of the US Army's 3rd Infantry Division, said 48 Iranian-supplied roadside bombs had been used against his forces killing nine soldiers. "We've got a major problem with Iranian munitions streaming into Iraq. This Iranian interference is troubling and we have to stop it," he told The Wall Street Journal this week.

Meanwhile at a conference in Baghdad on regional co-operation, Iran claimed the US was supporting groups mounting attacks from Iraqi territory in the Kurdish north.

Said Jalili , Iran's deputy foreign minister, last night said: "I think [the US and its allies] are going to prevaricate with the truth because they know they have been defeated in Iraq and they have not been successful. And so they are going to put the blame on us, on the other side."
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/middle_east/article2953462.ece
JPTF 2007/09/12

setembro 08, 2007

"Bin Laden diz que os EUA se deviam converter" in BBC News, 8 de Setembro de 2007

A video tape which US experts believe is from al-Qaeda leader Osama Bin Laden has been released just days before the sixth anniversary of the 9/11 attacks. Below are excerpts from a transcript of the tape obtained by several news organisations.
"Praise to Allah and from his law is retaliation in kind - an eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth and the killer is killed... I am talking to you about important matters that concern you [Americans], so give me your ears. I start these matters by talking about the war between us and you and some of its repercussions on us and on you. As a prelude, I say that the USA has the biggest economic power and has the most powerful and most modern military arsenal and spends on this war and its army more than the world spends on its armies. And it is the major country that influences the policies of the world as if the unjust veto right is exclusive to it. In spite of all that, with the help of God, 19 young men managed to take its compass off-course. The talk about the mujahideen has even become an indivisible part of your leader's talk. The effects and implications of this are no secret... You permitted Bush to complete his first term, and stranger still, chose him for a second term, which gave him a clear mandate from you - with your full knowledge and consent - to continue to murder our people in Iraq and Afghanistan... Bush is talking about his co-operation with [Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri] Maliki and his government to spread democracy, but he is, in fact, co-operating with the leaders of one sect against another, in the belief that he will settle the war in his favour quickly. Thus what is called civil war has taken place and the situation has become worse because of him and slipped out of his control. He has become like someone who is cultivating in the sea, reaping nothing but failure... There are two solutions to stopping it. One is from our side, and it is to escalate the fighting and killing against you. This is our duty, and our brothers are carrying it out. The second solution is from your side. I invite you to embrace Islam".
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/6984560.stm
JPTF 2007/09/08

setembro 07, 2007

"A sombra do terrorismo islamista paira sobre a Europa" in Courrier International, 6 de Setembro de 2007


DOSSIER
L'ombre du terrorisme islamiste plane sur l'Europe

Trois terroristes présumés qui avaient planifié des attaques de grande envergure ont été arrêtés en Allemagne. Peu de temps auparavant, huit terroristes présumés en contact avec Al Qaïda avaient été arrêtés au Danemark. Le terrorisme islamiste prend-t-il une nouvelle dimension en Europe ? Cette dernière est-elle capable d'y faire face ?

Die Welt (Allemagne)
Selon Jacques Schuster, l'Allemagne constitue une cible terroriste pour musulmans établis depuis longtemps dans le pays. "Pas de malentendu : la majorité de la population islamique n'a rien à voir avec les extrémistes. Il convient toutefois de faire la constatation suivante : les musulmans radicaux prennent principalement l'Europe pour cible parce qu'ils peuvent s'y déplacer en toute liberté et trouver facilement de nouvelles recrues. (...) C'est précisément pour cette raison que ces personnes ne doivent plus avoir le droit de circuler librement. Les activités des services secrets et une pression sociale exercée par l'environnement musulman peuvent permettre d'affaiblir le milieu des sympathisants. Pour cela, le gouvernement doit instaurer des contraintes d'intégration plus sévères. Les sociétés parallèles, même pacifiques, ne sont pas tolérables."

Politiken (Danemark)
L'arrestation de terroristes présumés au Danemark montre une nouvelle fois que le terrorisme est un phénomène idéologique qui ne disparaît pas automatiquement lorsque l'intégration économique et sociale s'améliore, écrit le journal. "Que faut-il donc faire ? Une réponse appropriée au terrorisme implique une stratégie d'attaque et de défense. La stratégie d'attaque nécessite un travail efficace de la police au plus haut niveau, en collaboration étroite avec l'UE et d'autres partenaires internationaux. La défense est plus compliquée : il s'agit surtout de ne pas concéder aux terroristes la victoire à laquelle ils aspirent. (...) Ils ne pourront sortir vainqueurs que si nous nous laissons intimider et que nous accordons du crédit à leur idée d'un combat à mort entre les civilisations, en abandonnant les principes de l'Etat de droit, par exemple."

Der Standard (Autriche)
Alexandra Föderl-Schmid regrette l'absence d'une stratégie de lutte contre le terrorisme à l'échelle européenne. Elle revient sur la démission de Gijs de Vries, coordinateur antiterroriste de l'UE, en mars dernier. "Le manque de moyens était très frustrant. En effet, le coordinateur n'avait pas accès aux informations de la police européenne. (...) Voilà qui révèle un problème fondamental : les pays de l'UE ne sont pas vraiment emballés par une collaboration étroite dans ce domaine. Le seul élément concret est le mandat d'arrêt européen. Ce sont surtout les services secrets qui ne veulent pas partager leurs informations, et la situation n'est pas prête de changer. Car les renseignements, c'est le pouvoir. Tant qu'il en sera ainsi, les terroristes pourront tirer parti de cette situation pour se déplacer de pays en pays, voire monter les Etats les uns contre les autres."

HVG (Hongrie)
Imre Keresztes constate que l'organisation terroriste Al Qaïda a certes été affaiblie, mais que ses organisations satellites et ses sympathisants sont plus actifs que jamais. "Le combat sans merci livré par le monde contre Al Qaïda, la véritable chasse aux sorcières menée contre ses dirigeants et l'élimination de ses sources de financement ont considérablement affaibli l'organisation. Il y a six ans, Al Qaïda était directement à l'origine des attaques terroristes. Aujourd'hui, c'est plutôt une sorte de secte qui donne des directives idéologiques à des organisations satellites plus ou moins indépendantes. Selon les experts de sécurité arabes, la communication ne se fait plus par l'intermédiaire des mosquées ou des écoles coraniques, mais par Internet."
http://europe.courrierinternational.com/eurotopics/article.asp?langue=fr&publication=06/09/2007&cat=DOSSIER
JPTF 7/09/2007

setembro 06, 2007

"Muçulmanos convertidos visavam atacar na Alemanha" in Times, 6 de Setembro de 2007


White Muslim converts have brought the Islamic holy war into the heart of Europe with a narrowly thwarted plot to blow up hundreds of people in German airports, discotheques and restaurants. Three men — two Germans and a Turk who are believed to have received explosives training at a terrorist camp in Pakistan — were arraigned by the federal prosecutor yesterday after a nine-month police operation. Undercover agents using US intelligence followed and eavesdropped on the young men as they collected 750 kilos (1,650 pounds) of hydrogen peroxide and military detonators to be used in simultaneous suicide truck bomb attacks on American installations and meeting places. Hydrogen peroxide was a key ingredient in the London Tube bombs, but experts said that the explosives being prepared in a villa in the Black Forest would have wrought destruction on an even greater scale than the attacks on July 7, 2005. Conversations between the suspected terrorists mentioned the Ramstein airbase, Frankfurt airport and clubs used by American families as possible targets. “They were motivated by hatred of America and this influenced their choice of targets,” said Jörg Ziercke, president of the Federal Criminal Investigation Agency (BKA), the German equivalent of Scotland Yard. Several terrorist plots have been uncovered in Germany since September 11, 2001, but this one has shocked Germans more than any other: it has exposed the existence of a home-grown terrorist potential. The features of 28-year-old Fritz G were blanked out in his arrest photographs yesterday but there was no doubt about it: he was white and, for his neighbours in Ulm, quite unmistakably “our Fritz”. Like his accomplice, 22-year-old Daniel S. from the Saarland, he was a Muslim convert. “Converts tend to be more radical and fanatical than those who have been Muslims since they were in the cradle,” Hans Joachim Giessmann, a terrorism expert at the Hamburg Institute for Peace Research, said. “They are driven either by politics or the fervour of their new faith rather than any cultural tradition.” All three — the third man has been identified as Adem Y, 29, a Turk — met in Pakistan, where investigators believe that they received explosives training at a Taleban-linked camp. The three are believed to be members of the Islamic Jihad Union, an Uzbek-based group with close links to al-Qaeda. The group has branched out into Pakistan after organising attacks on Israeli and US diplomatic missions in Uzbekistan. After returning from Pakistan, Fritz G became an active member of a mosque in Ulm that has played host to radical preachers. But he was spotted by the police only by accident: his car was observed driving around the US military base at Hanau, near Frankfurt, on New Year’s Day. From that moment an intensive investigation began, drawing in 300 undercover agents. The purchase of huge quantities of hydrogen peroxide was the clinching sign that the group was potetentially dangerous. Mixed correctly, the chemicals were capable of triggering explosions equivalent to 500 kilos of TNT. By contrast, the bombers in London carried no more than three to four kilos of explosive. The potential blast would have been bigger than the Madrid and London bombings combined. The chemicals were stored in three containers. The watching police became so nervous that they broke cover, waiting until all three men were in different parts of Germany before swapping the contents for a diluted version. That task alone involved hundreds of detectives across the country. The turning point came on Tuesday. The chemicals had been transferred from the holiday home in the Black Forest to a rented house on the borders of the state of Hesse. The chemicals were starting to deteriorate, the location was near US air bases, the detonators had been acquired: it looked as if the group was ready to strike. The police were sceptical yesterday that the three men could have primed the explosives in time for a strike on the September 11 anniversary, but Monika Harms, the state prosecutor, did not want to take the risk. Members of the GSG 9 anti-terrorism unit broke down the door of the house and grabbed two of the suspects. A third wriggled through the bathroom window but was overpowered 300 metres away. He snatched the policeman’s pistol as they wrestled on the road and the gun went off. The officer was wounded in the hand. The group is thought to have had generous external funding. They had crisscrossed the country buying chemicals, rented houses under false names and used several cars. “These were not amateurs,” an investigator said. Immediately after the arrests, police began a search of 41 apartments across Germany. The police have 890 potentially dangerous Muslim German residents on their lists. Wolfgang Schäuble, the Interior Minister, emphasised, however, that German Muslims would not become automatic suspects.

The British connection
— German police copied tactics used by British anti-terrorist investigators to render the bomb plot impotent
— In 2004 Scotland Yard detectives watching a group of terrorists planning a bomb attack in London switched their hoard of fertiliser for a container of cat litter. Similarly, German officers removed high-strength hydrogen peroxide from their suspects’ hideout and replaced it with a weaker solution
— Britain has faced more al-Qaeda plots than any other Western European nation since 2001. British tactics, legislation and mistakes are therefore carefully studied by other police forces
— The plot uncovered by German police bears similarities to terrorist activity in Britain. Like many British terrorists, the men arrested in Germany are reported to have received training in Pakistani tribal areas, where al-Qaeda now has its camps
— Hydrogen peroxide-based explosives are a common al-Qaeda weapon and formed the basis of the 7/7 suicide bombs and 21/7 failed bombs. Since then hydrogen peroxide has been made much more difficult to obtain in Britain. Similar restrictions are not, however, in place elsewhere.
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/europe/article2390127.ece
JPTF 2007/09/06

setembro 05, 2007

"Terroristas islamistas planeavam ataque massivo na Alemanha" in Spiegel online, 5 de Setembro de 2007



The scenarios which the highest representatives of the German security forces were describing on Wednesday morning were horrific: "Massive bomb attacks," simultaneous attacks using several car bombs and huge numbers of people killed right in the middle of Germany. Only a bold raid foiled the plans of the Islamist terrorists, according to statements made in Karlsruhe by German Federal Prosecutor Monika Harms and Jörg Ziercke, the head of Germany's Federal Criminal Police Office (BKA). According to Harms, the three men arrested Tuesday afternoon belong to a German cell of the terror group "Islamic Jihad Union" (IJU). They are accused of preparing terror attacks against US facilities in Germany. It would have been an inferno. The explosive material the men had would have sufficed to make bombs with a higher explosive power that those used in the attacks in Madrid and London, according to Ziercke. The three men had planned on mixing the explosive material so as to produce a bomb with the power of 550 kilograms (1,200 pounds) of TNT. The federal prosecutor's office ordered all three men arrested Tuesday afternoon. The police forces struck in a spontaneous raid because the men, who were already under observation, intended to begin preparing chemicals to make a bomb and to leave their hideout. Fearing that the men might disappear, BKA investigators and Germany's elite GSG-9 anti-terrorist unit arrested the whole group in Medebach-Oberschledorn in the state of North Rhine-Westphalia. Later, the BKA conducted searches, in which hundreds of officers took part, of another 40 buildings in several German states.

Deadly Experiments
The three suspects were arrested in a holiday apartment where they had chemicals based on hydrogen peroxide, a substance that can be transformed into explosives using a complicated procedure. Security sources have told SPIEGEL ONLINE that this is exactly what the men had attempted to do. Similar concoctions have already been used in other terror attacks. It was when the men began to process the legally obtained 730 kilograms of chemicals that the authorities became alarmed. A few days ago, police experts secretly swapped the 35-percent solution of hydrogen peroxide contained in 12 barrels for a diluted liquid that only contained 3 percent of the chemical. "Concrete preparations had begun, so we had to act," said one official.
They were still far from having a finished bomb, however. "It wasn't a case of coitus interruptus," commented one official. However, according to information obtained by SPIEGEL ONLINE, the men had all the necessary components ready -- they had even already procured a military ignition mechanism for the explosive device. "An attack was imminent -- it was only a question of time," said one high-ranking security expert. Probably the men wanted to place the bombs in one or more cars and explode them in front of the target.
The goal of the men was clear. "The intention was to commit an attack and cause as many deaths as possible," said the official. The investigators were mainly concerned that the three men had been acting conspiratorially in the last few weeks and possibly were planning to split up after the meeting in Oberschledorn and work further on their plan even more inconspicuously. Out of fear of losing track of the group and their activities, the police decided to strike. One of the men attempted to escape through the bathroom window during the raid. He tore the gun out of the hand of a police officer who challenged him. In the following scuffle, a shot was fired and the police officer was lightly injured on the hand. The arrests came after an extensive investigation carried out by federal prosecutors. Agents had been on the heels of the group surrounding 28-year-old Fritz G. -- one of those taken into custody on Tuesday -- since the end of 2006. Together with Daniel S. -- likewise a German who had converted to Islam -- and a 22-year-old Turkish man from Hesse named Adem Y., Fritz G. is thought to have founded an Islamist group that was even prepared to carry out suicide attacks in Germany. Since then, authorities have been watching the group around the clock. Help was provided by local authorities, and US officials also turned over material to the investigation. "Thankfully, collaboration worked well in this case," an official said. Interior Minister Wolfgang Schäuble said the plans never reached a stage where they posed a danger, partly because all the relevant authorities were actively investigating the case.

In the Crosshairs
Members of the group first came to the authorities' attention on New Year's Day 2006. Fritz G. was in a car seen driving around the US military base in Hanau conspicuously often. Officials suspected that he and the other suspects were casing the facility for a possible attack. Soon after, the investigation was stepped up, and in March of this year, an official file was opened by federal prosecutors. Authorities were shocked, though, when the group continued working on their plan even after the investigation was started. After all, they must surely have known that they were under observation. "That they nevertheless continued shows how determined they were," one investigator said. "We are dealing here with perpetrators who believe devoutly in what they were doing." The investigator also says that the men were prepared to sacrifice their lives to make their attacks a success. The case also provides still more evidence, officials say, that Germany has become a target of international terrorism. All three of the men had intensive contacts with Pakistan, likely to the Islamic Jihad Union (IJU) which is active there. According to authorities, Daniel S. visited a terrorist training camp in Pakistan in March 2006. According to information obtained by SPIEGEL ONLINE, the other two were likewise in Pakistan at the end of 2006 and it is thought that they too spent some time in a training camp. Since then, investigators have intercepted numerous phone calls between the suspects and contacts in Pakistan. The IJU was responsible for a deadly 2006 attack in Uzbekistan but is now primarily active in Pakistan. It is still not clear which targets the group actually wanted to attack in Germany. In wiretapped conversations, the men spoke again and again about possible targets. Frankfurt airport and other airports were discussed, as was the US airbase at Ramstein and other possible locations such as a nightclub. "There was still no concrete plan," one of the investigators said. "Nevertheless, the intention was clearly recognizable." One of the suspects is said to have clearly stated that he was ready to die a martyr's death. The results of the investigation against the group gave the government cause for concern for months. Interior Minister Wolfgang Schäuble repeatedly spoke of a clearly increased danger of terror attacks in Germany, referring to the undercover investigation against the group. The US also had evidence relating to the men's connections to Pakistan and warned the German authorities. In addition, the US increased safety precautions at their facilities after the investigations yielded their first results. The group's radical tendencies are well documented. The investigators have known about Fritz G., who is a well-known member of the radical Islamist scene in Ulm, for a long time. G. is considered a prominent member of a group of radicalized Islamists who settled in Ulm. The other two suspects also obviously had close contacts to this group. The radical activities in Ulm were already known about before the 9/11 attacks, and the authorities kept a close eye on developments there. The investigators are not yet aware of a schedule for the possible attacks. According to a statement by top officials, it is possible that the attacks could have been planned to coincide either with the anniversary of 9/11 or with the decision to extend the mandate for Germany's deployment in Afghanistan, which is expected in the autumn. The chemicals which the group obtained have a short shelf-life -- hence time was of the essence. However it is questionable whether the group could have completely finished the complex process of building the bombs by either of those dates. The authorities are now hoping for further information to come out of the interrogations of the suspects. Further arrests cannot be ruled out, according to the Federal Prosecutor's Office. First, however, the three men are to be presented to the judge handling the case. He has already issued an arrest warrant.
http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,druck-504037,00.html
JPTF 5/09/2007

agosto 22, 2007

"Paquistão 1947-2007: 60 anos perdidos" in Courrier International



Le concept d’Etat-nation s’étant imposé il y a plus de deux cents ans, on peut dire que le Pakistan, qui a fêté son soixantième anniversaire le 14 août dernier, est plutôt immature. Il traverse d’ailleurs une grave crise sécuritaire, identitaire et politique. L’insécurité qui y règne provient des conditions mêmes de la naissance du pays, qui a eu lieu par césarienne [avec la partition du sous-continent] et dans le sang. Sa crise d’identité résulte de sa tentative de couper le cordon ombilical avec le reste de l’Asie du Sud laïque pour se tourner vers le Moyen-Orient islamique. Quant à ses problèmes politiques chroniques, ils sont dus à l’héritage d’un appareil d’Etat colonial relativement développé où la représentation de l’armée et de la bureaucratie a primé sur la consolidation de la nation. Le résultat a été la création d’une “nation-Etat” au-dessus du peuple, alors que les Etats-nations se construisent habituellement dans l’autre sens, le peuple formant d’abord une nation, puis un Etat.

La nation-Etat pakistanaise a cherché à se légitimer et à s’affirmer en s’appuyant sur une idéologie religieuse. Elle a tenté d’imposer une identité unique à la population dans le but de faire disparaître les anciennes et multiples “identités secondaires” léguées par l’Histoire, c’est-à-dire l’appartenance ethnique, la langue, la classe sociale et la région d’origine. Les Etats-nations traditionnels, comme l’Inde, se fondent au contraire sur les principes du pluralisme et de la démocratie laïque, où l’unité est une reconnaissance plutôt qu’une négation de la diversité religieuse, linguistique, ethnique et sociale. Une nation-Etat construite sur la base d’une identité religieuse – qui, par définition, sème l’exclusion, la division et l’intolérance parce qu’elle introduit une différence entre “nous” et “eux” – est plus encline à des crises de violence qu’un Etat-nation démocratique, laïc et pluraliste.

Au Pakistan, la question de la nation-Etat et de l’Etat-nation est rendue plus difficile par une grande contradiction contenue dans l’identité religieuse du pays. L’islam transcende l’Etat-nation, car il exige d’être loyal à une communauté transnationale de croyants, ce qui mine le sentiment de loyauté envers un Etat national délimité par des frontières géographiques et doté d’une souveraineté politique restreinte. La tentative du Pakistan pour se forger un “nationalisme islamique” est donc un contresens. De plus, en soixante ans, cette idéologie unique dominante a conduit à l’implantation d’une culture politique autoritaire, à un démembrement violent [avec la sécession du Pakistan-Oriental, devenu le Bangladesh en 1971], à des guerres régionales débilitantes [avec l’Inde notamment], à des révoltes internes, à des conflits religieux et à une course aux armements qui s’est avérée si onéreuse qu’elle a empêché la grande majorité des Pakistanais de bénéficier des retombées du développement économique.

Comment sortir de l’ornière ? Il faut d’abord non pas davantage mais moins de religion d’Etat, afin que le Pakistan devienne pluraliste, laïc, pacifique et viable. Cela n’est d’ailleurs pas incompatible avec un renforcement du sentiment religieux au niveau personnel. Pour y parvenir, nous devrons remanier les programmes scolaires, sensibiliser les médias et supprimer toutes les références à un destin religieux unique dans la Constitution. Nous devrons également insister pour que l’armée et la bureaucratie servent les civils avant tout. Nous devrons en outre soutenir les élans du peuple vers une plus grande démocratie et vers le constitutionnalisme libéral, et demander le départ définitif des militaires et des religieux qui occupent des postes au gouvernement. Enfin, les relations de notre Etat avec ses voisins devront se fonder sur une coexistence pacifique et sur les échanges plutôt que d’être guidées par des ambitions territoriales ou religieuses. Comment cela se traduira-t-il dans la pratique ? Le président Pervez Musharraf [qui dirige le pays depuis 1999] devra renoncer à cumuler ses fonctions avec celles de chef d’état-major et ordonner aux militaires de quitter la politique. Des élections libres et régulières devront rendre le pouvoir à des partis politiques démocratiques, pluralistes, réformateurs et favorables à la séparation de l’Etat et de la religion. En fait, le Pakistan ne doit pas seulement choisir entre la modération religieuse et l’extrémisme, ou entre le contrôle civil et le contrôle militaire. Il doit surtout s’interroger sur les relations que peuvent entretenir nation plurielle et Etat indivisible. S’il reste embourbé dans une identité et une idéologie religieuse uniques, il ne pourra jamais vivre en paix et ne sera jamais démocratique, et cela quels que soient ses dirigeants. Mais, si les civils et les militaires parviennent à un consensus sur ce sujet, tous les autres problèmes pourront être réglés.

Ce consensus est-il envisageable ? Malheureusement, les sentiments antioccidentaux et le choc des civilisations occupant actuellement plus de place dans le cerveau des gens que les idées de démocratie, de société civile, et même que la situation économique, cette éventualité semble peu probable. Dans ces conditions, tout accord sur le partage du pouvoir entre Pervez Musharraf et Benazir Bhutto [ancien Premier ministre et dirigeante d’un parti d’opposition, elle serait convenue avec le président de devenir le prochain chef du gouvernement à l’issue des prochaines élections, fin 2007, en échange de son soutien au régime actuel] ne pourra jamais apporter les modifications dont l’Etat a besoin. Le Pakistan semble donc condamné à subir encore de nombreuses épreuves.
http://www.courrierinternational.com/article.asp?obj_id=76666
JPTF 2007/08/22

agosto 18, 2007

Malásia: "Guerra do Islão ao pecado obscurece luzes brilhantes numa nação dividida entre culturas" in Times, 18 de Agosto de 2007




Over a drink of green coconut at what used to be called the Passionate Love Beach until his Islamist party came to power and scrapped the name, state minister Takiyuddin Hassan outlines the victories in the war on sin.

To the south, in Kuala Lumpur, the capital, celebrations are starting for Malaysia’s 50th year as an independent state. Its proud achievements are modern universities, a buoyant economy and a respected place in the world as a moderate Islamic nation.

Mr Hassan’s party boasts a different set of achievements: banning mini-skirts, chastising unmarried couples and renaming Kota Bharu’s favourite beauty spot. They also closed down nightclubs, banned nearly all bars except a few Chinese restaurants, where no Muslims are allowed, and refused to let a proposed cinema open unless there were separate sections for men and women.

In a sign of their clout, the American pop diva Gwen Stefani has agreed to wear traditional costumes in her Malaysian concert next week after conservative Muslim youths protested at the “indecent dressing and obscenity” of her skin-baring act. An Islamic opposition party demanded that her show next Tuesday should be cancelled.

As it celebrates 50 years of independence on August 31, Malaysia is once again debating just how Islamic it should be. Older Malays bemoan a younger generation that has become puritanical, self-righteously declining to attend social functions where alcohol is served. Headscarves, rare 20 years ago, are worn by almost all Malay women now, although often in combination with tight jeans.

As for Mr Hassan, a moderate who was once a lawyer, he is proud of his party’s achievements in Kota Bharu. He says that it has kept the rustic capital of Kelantan state upright and clean-living. The biggest building in the city is a gigantic headquarters decorated with concrete Korans where the moral enforcement department is based. Its bearded officials spend much of their time prowling parks in Kota Bharu in search of amorous young sinners.

Mr Hassan is sensitive about the mocking nickname of “Taleban lite” sometimes levelled at his party from Kuala Lumpur, where bars do a roaring trade and the cinemas are full of dating couples. Yet he is sure that the moral example set in Kota Bharu will some day win over his lax compatriots to the south. “Malaysia is a Muslim state. We hope we can change the mindset of our people in Kuala Lumpur so they can live according to Islamic principles too,” he said. Not all parties agree.

Some fear that assertive Islam threatens to upset the delicate balance between the 60 per cent Malay Muslim majority and the nonMuslim ethnic Chinese and Indian minorities, which have managed to coexist, sometimes uneasily, since the troubled birth of the country in 1957, at a time of civil war and ethnic tension.

At the time many feared that the new nation was doomed to failure. It has instead built a strong economy and an imperfect democracy, dominated for 50 years by the United Malays National Organisation, which has survived without the coups or upheavals that have plagued her neighbours.

Ronnie Liu, of the Democratic Action Party, said: “Socialising between Malays and the other ethnic groups is much rarer than it used to be. You go into coffee shops and restaurants now and they no longer cater to an ethnic mix of customers. It wasn’t like that before.” Some nonMuslim Chinese and Indians feel increasingly treated like second-class citizens. They complain, usually privately, that Islamic religious schools are much better funded than theirs and that a system of affirmative action favours Malays when it comes to university places.

Islam has always had a prominent place. It is the official religion of Malaysia and the Constitution states that anyone born Malay is Muslim.

The debate over the parameters of its role, an old argument in Malaysia, was given a new outing when Najib Razak, the Deputy Prime Minister, broke a taboo to declare that the nation was an Islamic one. He said: “We have never been secular because being secular by Western definition means separation of the Islamic principles in the way we govern the country.”

The Council of Churches of Malaysia afterwards accused him of stirring up racial tension.

Minority religions are particularly worried about a series of apostasy rulings. Chinese or Indians who want to marry a Malay must convert to Islam, causing great problems if they divorce or are widowed and want to return to the religion of their birth.

In a notorious case this year a Malay woman called Lina Joy attempted to have Malaysia’s courts recognise her conversion to Christianity, but failed and was hounded and fled into hiding. Some hardliners have even called for the execution of apostates.

Every state has a religious department with Saudi-style moral enforcers and nowhere are they more active than in Kota Bharu, a city of mosques along a muddy river that bustles during the day but falls silent at nightfall.

Unmarried couples found sharing hotel rooms are hunted down by the enforcers. Couples caught sitting too close together on park benches are fined 2,000 ringgit (£285) in the city’s shariah court under a provision called khalwat ” loosely translated as “close proximity”. Couples have been forced into marriage after being caught together and moral enforcers sometimes pick on foreigners.

NonMuslims as well as Malays also sometimes fall foul of the enforcers in Kuala Lumpur and elsewhere and there are claims that instead of being paragons of Islamic virtue the enforcers are prone to bribery and have recruited vigilantes into their ranks.

In Kota Bharu the enforcers declined to speak to The Times. Mr Hassan explained: “They are worried about being made to look like fools. It could damage the image of Islam if their work is portrayed in the wrong light.”

Nurhayati Kaprawi, of Sisters in Islam, a group that has spoken out against khalwatand the enforcers, said that many of their raids followed anonymous tip-offs. She said that they frequently terrorised people by barging into homes in the middle of the night.

Ms Kaprawi said: “They say they want to implement Islam but the truth is they are really smearing Islam. If they are not stopped they really could become like the Taleban.”
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/asia/article2280503.ece
JPTF 18/08/2007

agosto 12, 2007

"Islamistas pretendem reintroduzir o califado" in BBC, 12 de Agosto de 2007


Some 80,000 Islamists have met in the Indonesian capital, Jakarta, to press for the re-establishment of a caliphate across the Muslim world. The Islamist group Hizb ut-Tahrir - which organised the conference - said it had been the largest gathering of Muslim activists from around the world. However, the group is illegal in many countries and key speakers have been stopped from entering Indonesia.

A caliphate - or single state for Muslims - last existed in 1924.
Hizb ut-Tahrir regards this as the ideal form of government, because it follows what it believes are the laws of God as set out in the Koran, rather than laws designed by man. The groups says it seeks to set up a caliphate by non-violent means - but many experts see it as ideologically close to jihadist groups.

It is banned in most of the Middle East and parts of Europe.
The BBC's Lucy Williamson in Jakarta says that of the estimated 80,000 people packing the stadium hired for the event, the overwhelming majority were women, who have travelled from across Indonesia to attend. If the audience turnout was impressive, not so the speakers lined up to address the crowd, our correspondent adds. One by one, over the past few days, seven of the delegates invited to speak have dropped out.

Barred
Hizb ut-Tahrir says at least two of its foreign activists - one from Britain and another from Australia - were barred by the Indonesian government. Key speakers were barred from travelling to Indonesia. The group's spokesman Muhammad Ismail Yusanto said: "The organising committee deplores the deportation because they came to Indonesia... to give their good advice for the progress of Islam, for the progress of this country." Controversial Indonesian cleric Abu Bakar Ba'asyir was also scheduled to address the conference, but organisers asked him not to attend after police raised security concerns. Hizb ut-Tahrir - or Liberation Party - was founded in Jerusalem in the 1950s by Palestinian religious scholar Taqiuddin an-Nabhani. Today it has a mainly clandestine following in the Middle East, a large presence in Central Asia - where hundreds of its members have been jailed - and active supporters in the West, including London, which is believed to be one of its main bases. Many experts see it as ideologically close to jihadist groups, and suspect its commitment to peaceful means is purely tactical.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/6942688.stm
JPTF 2007/08/12

agosto 11, 2007

"Esperança e Desepero num Iraque Dividido" in Der Spiegel online, 10 de Agosto de 2007


The Iraq war came within a hair of returning to Ramadi in early July. The attackers had already gathered four kilometers (about 2.5 miles) south of the city, on the banks of the Nasr canal. Between 40 and 50 men dressed in light uniforms were armed like soldiers and prepared to commit a series of suicide bombings. They had already strapped explosive vests to their bodies and loaded thousands of kilograms of explosives, missiles and grenades onto two old Mercedes trucks. But their plan was foiled when Iraqis intent on preserving peace in Ramadi betrayed them to the Americans.

Army Units of the 1st Battalion of the 77th United States Armor Regiment -- nicknamed the "Steel Tigers" and sent from an American base in Schweinfurt, Germany -- approached from the north and south. But the enemy was strong and they quickly realized that in order to defeat it, they needed air support. Before long, Apache combat helicopters, F-18 Hornet and AV-8 Harrier jets approached, the explosions from their guns lighting up the night sky on June 30.
The "Battle of Donkey Island," named after the wild donkeys native to the region, lasted 23 hours. The Americans forced the enemy to engage in trench warfare in the rough brush, eventually trapping them in the vast riverside landscape. It wasn't until later, after the soldiers lost two of their own and killed 35 terrorists, that they realized the scope of the disaster they had foiled.

Three of the captured attackers, who claimed to be members of al-Qaida in Iraq, revealed their plan to plunge Ramadi into chaos once again by staging multiple attacks in broad daylight. By unleashing a devastating series of suicide attacks on the city, they hoped to destroy the delicate peace in Ramadi and bring the war back to its markets, squares, streets and residential neighborhoods.

Two weeks after the battle, Ian Lauer is walking through Ramadi's western Tameem neighborhood, the edges of which melt into the vast Syrian Desert. Lauer, a captain, is in charge of Charlie Company. He hasn't forgotten the Battle of Donkey Island. The members of his company have just emerged from four armor-plated Humvees and are now strolling toward a nearby mosque.

"A few months ago, you couldn't have taken a single step here without getting shot at," says Lauer, a fair-skinned 30-year-old who still seems oddly pale under his suntan "We couldn't leave our fucking camp without being fucking shot at," he says. "Now it's peaceful and it's fucking great."

The Turning Point
In October, 90 "incidents" were reported in Tameem, an area no larger than a few city blocks in Berlin. Twenty of those incidents involved attacks on US troops by gangs of insurgents. Wherever the Americans went they were shot at from apartment buildings, three times with rockets and four times with rocket-propelled grenades. Sixteen remote-controlled bombs exploded along the neighborhood's streets, 14 homemade explosive devices were found and defused, snipers attacked the occupying troops twice and one hidden car bomb was found, ready for use. And so the story continued: throughout November, December, January and February.

By March, however, the number of incidents reported in Tameem had dropped to 43, including only four direct attacks with rifles and pistols and one rocket attack. There were no bombings, snipers, rocket-propelled grenades or car bombs. And the leaders of the region's 23 powerful clans were finally meeting with US commanders for "security conferences," while the imams from the city's mosques met with the military's chaplains.

The Iraqis in Ramadi, almost all Sunnis, had been worn down by chronic violence. Many had been victims of kidnappings or blackmail at the hands of mafia-like terrorist groups. They had finally come to the realization that, in the long run, the Americans were less of a threat and offered more hope than the fanatical holy warriors from Iraq and abroad.

Families began sending their sons to join the new Iraqi police force and military and fathers ran for municipal offices. They began cooperating with US military officials, turning in bombers and revealing their weapons caches, all while going about their daily lives, running their businesses, working as contractors, shipping agents and garbage collectors. Teachers returned to their classrooms, doctors began treating patients again and store owners restocked their shelves. Iraqis were now building the barbed wire barriers around the city, constructed to force travelers through checkpoints. Iraqis even manned the checkpoints as the Americans -- the Iraqis' former enemies -- retreated to the background, watching over as the city made a fresh start.

Since June, Ramadi residents have only known the war from televison. Indeed, US military officials at the Baghdad headquarters of Operation Iraqi Freedom often have trouble believing their eyes when they read the reports coming in from their units in Ramadi these days. Exploded car bombs: zero. Detonated roadside bombs: zero. Rocket fire: zero. Grenade fire: zero. Shots from rifles and pistols: zero. Weapons caches discovered: dozens. Terrorists arrested: many.

An Irritating Contraction
Ramadi is an irritating contradiction of almost everything the world thinks it knows about Iraq -- it is proof that the US military is more successful than the world wants to believe. Ramadi demonstrates that large parts of Iraq -- not just Anbar Province, but also many other rural areas along the Tigris and Euphrates Rivers -- are essentially pacified today. This is news the world doesn't hear: Ramadi, long a hotbed of unrest, a city that once formed the southwestern tip of the notorious "Sunni Triangle," is now telling a different story, a story of Americans who came here as liberators, became hated occupiers and are now the protectors of Iraqi reconstruction.

It's Friday, the Muslim day of rest. The city is practically asleep, the air filled a powder-fine sand the soldiers like to call "moon dust." Though still morning, it's 115 degrees Fahrenheit (46 degrees Celsius) outside. In the afternoon, the Iraqi national soccer team will play against Australia in the Asian Cup and win the match, 3:1. Sporting victories, of course, are something Iraqis haven't had much time to think about in the past four years. Shots will be heard in the city after the final whistle, bullets of joy fired off into the blue sky, salutes to a new Iraq.
The square in front of the mosque, a trash-covered wasteland between ruined rows of houses, fills up with people at the end of Friday prayers. Children hang on the American soldiers like grapes on a vine, plucking at their trousers, vying for their attention, for a glance, a piece of candy, a dollar, gazing up at the big foreigners as if they were gods.

The Americans run into acquaintances in the crowd. After being stationed in the city for 10 months, they have become a familiar sight. Bearded men greet the soldiers with hugs and kisses, and passersby hand them cold cans of lemonade. "Thank you, Mister," "Hello, Mister," "How are you, Mister?" they say. They talk about paint for schools and soccer jerseys, and they invite the Americans over for lunch. The Iraqis pose for photos with them, making "V's" for "victory" with their fingers.

Lauer's unit arrives at the home of Ali Chudeir, a charming 30-year-old construction company manager in need of a good dentist. His English is good, but only, he says, because his father practically pounded five new vocabulary words into his head each day as a kid. Bodyguards armed with Kalashnikov rifles lurk around his front door. Chudeir still doesn't fully trust the newfound peace that has come to town. The terrorists, he warns, could return. They are still lurking outside the city, randomly attacking people, he says. "This will continue for a long time. That's why the Americans should stay here longer."

It's clear that Lauer and Chudeir have become friends. They have a lot in common: Both are 30 and have children, Lauer three and Chudeir four. When the Iraqi heard that his American friend was shot in the back at the Battle of Donkey Island, he says, "My family and I wept and prayed for him." The bullet that had hit Lauer stopped just in time to spare his life. It ripped a hole in his T-shirt, but produced nothing more serious than a large bruise thanks to the Kevlar vest he was wearing. But Lauer doesn't like to talk about it, saying only, "I'm a lucky bastard."

Five American officers sit on sofas in front of Chudeir's desk, behaving as if they were on leave, their guns leaning carelessly against a wall, their bulletproof vests removed as they watch Arab MTV on television. Anyone who has satellite TV in Iraq can receive up to 200 stations, including Egyptian Koran channels and Saudi Arabian religious broadcasts, "Pulp Fiction" and "Star Wars" on movie channels, Japanese game shows and English animal series. Five or six news stations are on the air 24 hours a day, while others broadcast European football matches, shows about makeup, cooking, Bollywood movies and luxury car commercials -- mirages of a more carefree life beyond Iraq.
Dinner arrives and it's a true feast, with a spread of kebabs and large pieces of roast chicken, salad and rice with coriander leaves. Chudeir serves sumptuous meals whenever the Americans come to visit, not only because he is a good host, but also because he is grateful to his American friends. Thanks to the American engineers, he says, the city has up to 10 hours of electricity a day now. "We have never had this in all of Ramadi's history. In the end, we will live like civilized people."

As his friends leave, Chudeir waves goodbye with both arms while other neighbors to the left and right do the same. Once again, passersby make the "V" for "victory" sign, greeting the soldiers, "Hello, Mister. How are you?" They're like scenes from another country, another city, a different movie.
Ver artigo integral em http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,499154,00.html
JPTF 2007/08/11

agosto 09, 2007

"Al-Manar TV: difundindo a guerra do Hezbollah" in Asharq Alawsat, 7 de Agosto de 2007


Beirut, Asharq Al-Awsat- Al Manar television channel, known as Hezbollah’s mouthpiece, has a strong and constant presence in the homes of the party’s supporters.The channel’s headquarters were the first target during the Israeli bombing of south Beirut at the start of the war last summer, as they were the final target before the ceasefire came into effect.

“The war broke out and ended with a blow for Al Manar,” said Mohammed Afif, the political news director of the channel.” However, the channel’s crew considers its continuous transmission despite the intense shelling to be “part of the victory.”

Al Manar television channel, which draws up the “ideological agenda” for Hezbollah's supporters, was transformed into a secret cell during warfare.

During the war, the station’s crew operated from numerous secret broadcast centers that were undetected by Israeli surveillance technology. Batul Ayyub, a young anchorwoman for the channel and the only woman who was part of this “secret press” said, “On the way [to an incognito broadcast center] I initially felt very scared. I would feel worried for a moment but then I just got on with my work.”

And yet, the channel continues to operate and despite the repeated destruction of the channel’s headquarters, it still remained at the forefront during the war. “We have taken precautionary measures to prevent attacks on Al Manar's image," said Afif. The channel’s news director spoke about the prompt steps taken by the station’s management to seek alternatives following the destruction of its headquarters. He acknowledged that there had been previous preparations made months in advance due to the fact that, “the whole region was simmering and that the signs of war had clearly manifested.”

Regarding these measures, his only comment was, “This is part of the secrets of war.” He added that, “we quickly built a temporary studio that we moved into after the main headquarters were bombed. We then assembled a team that was ready to get to work.”

After the first attack on the channel’s headquarters shortly following the bombing of Beirut international airport last July 13, the station’s management decided to downsize its personnel to the point of letting go of its administrative employees, only retaining a select few of those working in the reporting and news field.

Although the building collapsed to the ground after a missile attack on July 17, there were no casualties among the channel’s personnel, said Afif. When asked how it was possible for a building to get thoroughly ravaged while the people inside remained unharmed, he said, “When al Sayyid [Hassan Nasrallah] declared it a divine victory, some were questioning if that was a reasonable claim. This alone [the lack of injuries] is a sign of divine intervention.”

Afif stated that Al Manar station was capable of resuming its transmission from secret locations throughout the duration of the military operations by using “superior misleading and camouflage methods and tactics that I cannot disclose.”

“It was a boost of confidence for the public,” he continued, “that Al Manar TV continued its broadcast despite the bombing in the southern neighborhoods in Beirut. Amidst the fierce fighting, the anchorman used to present the news with a smile. This raised the people’s morale,” he said.

During this past war, Al Manar TV played a mobilization role in which it assembled the ranks of Hezbollah supporters who were exposed to intense shelling and deportation. Additionally, the channel had mastered the tactics of psychological warfare through placing the emphasis on Israeli casualties and the Lebanese civilians who had been killed, repeatedly airing the footage and sparing no details. The conspicuous absence of images of Hezbollah’s casualties and the complete sabotage of the channel’s headquarters has prompted some in the Western media to question if the war was taking place between a visible party and an invisible other.

Still, Al Manar TV remains a main source of news for other media outlets. The crux of its role depends on the frequent speeches delivered by Hezbollah’s Secretary-General, Hassan Nasrallah, who is the party’s official spokesman and who is the one to enumerate its achievements, comment on its military operations, rally the public and refute the arguments of his critics. Frequently, television stations interrupt their broadcast to air Nasrallah’s speeches live on Al Manar TV.

“The coordination between myself and al Sayyid [Hassan Nasrallah] was related to the timing of the broadcast of the videotape. Most of the time it was broadcast immediately [upon recipient], even if it was at a late hour. At this point, no time was deemed to be late as we had constant viewers both day and night, amidst the relentless shelling,” said Afif.

“During the first phase, I used to inform journalists that we were going to air al Sayyid’s speech, but towards the end we used to just put an ‘breaking news’ logo onscreen,” he explained. Afif believes that the station’s peak viewing hours, “has granted us huge media power,” he said.

He added that there was no special technique entailed in airing the secretary-general’s speeches, however he pointed out that, “the danger was that the broadcast of these speeches coincided with the attacks on Al Manar’s main building, which was razed to the ground several times.”

Quoting Israeli media sources is almost a tradition at Al Manar; the channel’s eight newscasts throughout the day often include Israeli broadcasts. In the daily coverage of last summer’s war, the channel habitually used to broadcast live coverage taken from Israeli channels on the statements issued by Hezbollah leadership that were in conformity with the party’s maneuvers and the movements of the fighters.

According to Afif: “Other media outlets were more capable of broader field coverage, as we were subjected to attacks, in addition to facing a huge logistical problem. However, we were the source of the accurate news and the international news agencies quoted us,” furthermore pointing out that they had “minute-by-minute coordination with the resistance leaders.”

He added that, “Al Manar’s credibility was never shaken during the war. Everything we have covered regarding the destruction of tanks, missile launches and the course of the battle was 100 percent true. It was actually less than what had taken place on the ground.”

“I cannot present evidence for that [claim] but the Israelis have admitted it and confirmed our information,” continued Afif. Furthermore, he does not deny the mobilization role undertaken by Al Manar, “through the images, clips, ‘rallying’ songs, Quranic recitation, prayers and the broadcast of Nasrallah’s speeches, in addition to the mobilization undertaken by preachers in mosques, all which lacked prejudice towards the events, news and their credibility.”

Al Manar channel’s director boasted that in the duration of the war, the channel was the only one to have a correspondent posted at the border area, which witnessed the advance of the Israeli army and confrontations with Hezbollah fighters. Afif described Ali Shuaib, the channel’s correspondent, as “courageous” and negated that he had received any military training or that he had been in contact with [Hezbollah] fighters. “He is simply a correspondent and does not perform any other tasks,” he affirmed.

Regarding station correspondents he said, “They do not receive special training for military operations, but they have descended from a generation that was part of the resistance operation in the south [of Lebanon]. Some of them have reported in Iraq and Afghanistan and are experienced in war coverage.” He added that these reporters “belong to the region and are saturated with the culture and environment in which they work. This gives them precedence over others.”

Discussing the dualism experienced by Al Manar’s crew at the time of the war: “We were required to operate as a television station responsible for relating news to the rest of the world, while taking precautionary measures to ensure that the buildings were concealed, in addition to the protection of our correspondents and the transmission of our footage. The war proved our success.”

He continued, “We were aware of the magnitude of the risks threatening us and what it meant that our station buildings were under attack  but we also knew what the silencing of Al Manar would mean.”

But the transformation of Al Manar from a media channel accessible to the public into a secret network that operated from hidden studios was additionally accompanied by a transformation on the level of the crew, despite the limited numbers that resumed their work under these circumstances. These reporters resembled activists in jihadi organizations, as some leading figures among the field have recounted.

Marwan Abdul Sattar, director of operations of the channel’s transmission said, “It was a unique human experiment. We were in an incredibly brutal environment. Most of us are married with children, but we still felt that we had contributed to a part of the victory, since the absence of Al Manar would have meant a decline in the public morale (especially those in the areas under heavy attacks).”

He added that during the war, the station set up three locations for live transmission, which he upholds was the most difficult task. “Our correspondents did not appear in these live broadcasts in accordance with the importance of the news, but rather in accordance with the security situation.” Abdul Sattar stressed that the correspondents were not in contact with fighters when reporting on their movements.

Bilal Dib, the head of Al Manar’s satellite broadcast who was also part of the war crew said, “I feel affiliated to this institution and I am wholeheartedly devoted to it during critical times. There is no need to call in employees because they come in on their accord.” He elaborated that, “it has a family atmosphere since there are no leaders and subordinates. Sometimes I head down to the station when I am on holiday.”

Dib, who is a young media graduate said that “risk was not an element of concern for us,” after admitting that they were exposed to numerous dangerous situations when being transported from one secret location to another.

Abdul Sattar refuted that they had received any training, however said that, “if, for example, the unlikely event of an Israeli air attack were to target one of our broadcast locations, we would know how to defend ourselves.”

Regarding the channel’s elaborate operation mechanism, Dib said, “Even we did not know our location; none of us possesses full information on this matter.”

“On my wedding anniversary, I left the location to have breakfast with my wife. Upon returning everyone asked me where I had been, and when I explained they said, ‘how could you consider your anniversary under such circumstances?’”

“We were calm [during these times],” he concluded. He added that they were continuously in touch with their families but admitted that it was “no easy feat.”

Batul Ayyub, the only female on the team and Al Manar’s anchorwoman and moderator, recounted that she used to conceal herself by wearing a traditional gulf cloak. Her husband was the one to transport her to the agreed upon destinations. “I used to hear the sound of missiles launching while I was presenting the news bulletins. I had to keep smiling onscreen; I used to smile on the outside while feeling petrified on the inside.”

She revealed that she used to bid her family goodbye everyday before departing, as it may have been the last time she would see them, adding that they had been an incredible source of morale support. “My mother used to ask me where I was and I would say that I was in a safe place. My daughter would tell me how proud of me she was and would ask me to pass on her regards to al Sayyid [Hassan Nasrallah] every day before I left,” she recounted.

"The female element was necessary to soften the circumstances; viewers could see an anchorwoman announcing the victory of the resistance with a smile in her face,” she said. She added that working under such circumstances broke the traditional barriers, “I felt as though I was with family and my colleagues treated me like a sister. I got used to seeing my colleagues and my boss in their sleep clothes; it was as though we were at home,” she said.

However, Al Manar was not simply occupied with reporting on the news and airing speeches, during the war the channel hosted approximately 120 guests. Ziyad Jaafar was the entitled with the coordination with guests and transporting them to the desired location. “We would meet the guest somewhere and transport him/her in an enclosed car so that they would not know our destination. We would usually use side streets and alleyways and follow misleading routes to ensure that our destinations remained secret,” he said.

Likewise, Hezbollah resort to the same tactics when transporting journalists to interview figures from the party’s leadership. Reporters are taken to an underground garage then transported using a small enclosed van to the meeting place. Upon arrival, they also enter through an underground garage, making it impossible to identify the place.

“One of the guests was frightened to death on his way to the studio. It was at night and we were surrounded by darkness. I held his hand to find it was icy. I asked him, ‘Are you alright, sir?’ to which he replied, ‘of course, of course,’” Jaafar revealed.

Launched in 1991 with limited broadcast hours, Al Manar TV gradually increased its air time, and in 2002 added satellite broadcast to its standard transmission. And yet the channel was not among the five television channels to be granted official licensing by the Lebanese government under the audio-visual media law issued in 1996. In July 1997, Al Manar was granted the license by virtue of being a ‘resistance channel’, along with three other channels that were saved from being closed down.

Al Manar TV presents itself online as a channel, “that adopts an open unifying discourse,” in addition to “adopting an objective policy that aims at building a better future for the Arab and Muslim generations by emphasizing the tolerance values inherent in Islam and the propagation of the necessity of dialogue.”

In 2004, the channel was banned both in the US and France in 2004, the former listing it as a terrorist organization [State Department's Terrorist Exclusion List (TEL)], while the latter accused it of inciting anti-Semitism sentiments and hatred. Al Manar TV station regarded this decision to ban it as politically motivated and illegal. Furthermore, the station was banned in Spain and the reception of its transmission faced obstacles in Canada, Australia, South America, and the Netherlands.

In the post-war political crisis, the channel, which constitutes the mouthpiece for the resistance, transformed into becoming a platform for the opposition after having become the chief propagandist against Fouad Siniora’s government and the parties loyal to it.

Regarding the channel’s transformation into a platform for the opposition, Afif said, “[it’s transformation into a] platform has inflicted damage [on Al Manar] but it has not harmed its credibility. We are keen on reporting accurate news. For example, we criticize Saad Hariri [the head of the Future parliamentary bloc] and issue critical statements against him but we never distort any news related to him.”

The events taking place in Lebanon today are “very regretful,” according to Afif who also added that, “the media outlets did not create the political crisis, but rather reflected it to a large extent. We dealt with the matter from a national unity that is sacred [to us] and [we view] sectarianism as a red line. We did our best to avoid getting embroiled in the political conflict.”

“Al Manar’s position does not lie in the country’s political division, although it praises itself on being an oppositional channel. It is true that we always present accurate news, however the channel has provoked a segment of viewers who have, unfortunately, stopped watching it.”
http://www.asharqalawsat.com/english/news.asp?section=5&id=9821
JPTF 2007/08/09

agosto 01, 2007

"Os perigos de armar os sauditas" in Der Spiegel Online, 31 de Julho de 2007

On Monday, the Bush administration officially announced its plan to provide advanced weapons worth billions to friendly states in the Persian Gulf in order to curb growing Iranian influence in the region. Washington plans to sell $20 billion worth of satellite-guided bombs, and fighter and naval upgrades to Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Oman, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates over the next 10 years. A further $13 billion is pledged to Egypt, and Israel will remain, with $30 billion in arms aid, the greatest recipient in the Middle East of American largesse. The German government's coordinator for transatlantic relations voiced his concerns regarding the plan in a radio interview on Tuesday. "I don't see the point of arming the Gulf States and Saudi Arabia with more weapons," said Karsten Voigt. "The region is not suffering from a lack of weapons, but from a lack of stability." German editorial writers agreed, pointing to Saudi links to the insurgency in Iraq and international terrorism.

The conservative Die Welt writes:
"With its plans for weapons shipments worth billions to the Gulf states, Washington has now made it official: The democratization of the Middle East is no longer the focus of American foreign policy. In the name of limiting Iran's influence and restoring stability in the region, the US is returning to a Cold War strategy: The enemy of my enemy is my friend." "But doubts about whether this strategy is prudent in the case of Saudi Arabia can be heard beyond Israel and Europe. Many within the US administration are also convinced that international Islamic terrorism is something akin to the Saudis' exported civil war. Why else would half the foreign fighters traveling to Iraq be Saudis? And of the 19 men responsible for the 9/11 terror attacks, 15 were from Saudi Arabia. From Cologne to Karachi, Saudi embassies very openly operate Wahhabite Koran schools -- the most rigid, backward and dangerous form of Islam." "The strategy's effectiveness is very doubtful. In the 1980s, people placed their bets on Osama bin Ladin, the Taliban and Saddam Hussein when it came to dealing with the Soviets and Iran. Today we are struggling with the bloody consequences of those strategies. Courting Saudi Arabia is unwise and dangerous."

The left-wing Die Tageszeitung writes:
"The only thing the Bush administration has left to offer after six and a half years in power is a mixture of fear, helplessness and panic. Out of acute desperation, the US government now wants to provide help and weapons deals over the next 10 years to the countries that are best able to launch a new arms race in the region. No one can seriously believe that the already weapons-satiated Mideast can be satisfied or held in check by yet more weapons." "If Congress approves the plan, the Bush government's already appalling foreign policy record will only get worse. The only clearly identifiable victor would be the US defense industry -- which, incidentally, has considerable influence in Washington." Center-left Süddeutsche Zeitung uses the weapons deal to look at a broader worsening of relations between the US and Riyadh: "No other country in the Middle East is further from the democratic ideals preached by the US than Saudi Arabia. Mildly put, the human rights situation doesn't meet Western standards." "And beyond political realism, the (current) king is far less pro-American than his brother, who ruled before him ... The cooling of relations was most obvious when Abdallah described the US presence in Iraq at the last Arab Summit in Riyadh as an 'illegal foreign occupation.' Last fall, the king warned he would attack in Iraq if a civil war were to ensue after a withdrawal of US troops. But that's not the only point of irritation. Washington is also displeased about the Saudis' desire to create a nuclear partnership with Pakistan even if, as the Saudi's claim, it would be limited to the exchange of information."
http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,497428,00.html
JPTF 1/08/2007

julho 28, 2007

Para onde vai a Turquia?

As eleições do passado domingo deram uma clara maioria absoluta ao AKP-Partido da Justiça e Desenvolvimento, do actual Primeiro-Ministro Erdogan. Este, todavia, ficou abaixo dos 2/3 de deputados necessários para eleger o Presidente da República no Parlamento (no futuro será provavelmente eleito por sufrágio universal directo) e alterar a Constituição. Contudo, um resultado desta dimensão representa também uma importante vitória do AKP, no braço de ferro com os militares e o establishment secularista. Paradoxalmente, apesar de ter passado de 34,3% dos votos nas eleições de 2002 para 46,5% nestas últimas, no novo Parlamento vai ter menos 23 deputados que no anterior (340, contra 363 em 2002)... A explicação é uma fasquia de 10% da Lei Eleitoral, a pensar nos partidos curdos, muito questionável do ponto de vista da democraticidade do sistema eleitoral, que impede formações políticas com votações inferiores de terem qualquer representação parlamentar. (Nas anteriores eleições, cerca de 45% dos votos expressos não elegeram qualquer deputado!) De forma engenhosa, o DTP-Partido da Sociedade Democrática, um partido étnico curdo, conseguiu eleger 24 deputados, tendo-se estes candidatado formalmente como independentes, contornando assim a fasquia eleitoral dos 10% (os curdos tiraram as devidas ilacções das eleições de 2002, onde com 6,2% da votação e mais de 2 milhões de votos, não elegeram qualquer deputado...). Outra nota importante vai para a reentrada do MHP-Partido da Acção Nacionalista, de Devlet Bahçeli no Parlamento, com 14,3% dos sufrágios (8,3% em 2002). Trata-se de um partido da direita, no passado mesmo de extrema direita, ligado a actividades de milícias para-militares (os «Lobos Cinzentos»), de perfil marcadamente nacionalista, que fez campanha a favor da intervenção militar turca no Norte do Iraque e contra a UE. Esta ascensão também não é propriamente um dos resultados mais tranquilizantes (aparentemente, O MHP está também disposto a viabilizar a eleição do candidato presidencial do AKP, Abdullah Gül, no novo Parlamento). Por último, um olhar sobre o mapa geográfico-eleitoral mostra que a excepção a esta vaga pro-islamista/conservadora/nacionalista – representada pelo CHP-Partido Republicano do Povo, um partido de tipo social-democrata originalmente fundado por Mustafa Kemal e cujo actual líder é Deniz Baykal –, que nestas eleições obteve 20,6% dos votos (19,4% em 2002), só surge residualmente vencedora nas cidades costeiras do Mediterrâneo e na parte geograficamente europeia (ocidental) da Turquia. Num país que afirma olhar para o Ocidente como modelo e ter como objectivo a adesão à UE, a geografia eleitoral tem um mapa curioso. Aparentemente, o secularismo kemalista (ou o que resta dele), está a ser varrido do imenso território da Anatólia por uma avassaladora vaga de transformação vinda do Oriente (culturalmente conservadora e ideologicamente «islamista-capitalista», prometendo mais Islão e mais prosperidade material da UE). Esta já chegou às portas da Turquia mediterrânica ocidental. Resta saber quando e onde irá parar.
JPTF 2007/07/25

julho 26, 2007

"Protestos anti-nucleares após o acordo Sarkozy-Kadhafi" in Libération, 26 de Julho de 2007


Colères et mises en cause. Le mémorandum sur le nucléaire signé pa Nicolas Sarkozy pendant sa visite à Tripoli a suscité jeudi des protestation d’associations et de partis de gauche en France, qui ont critiqué un décision «irresponsable» ouvrant la voie au nucléaire militaire. «Cet accord pose un énorme problème de prolifération nucléaire et se situe dans la droite ligne de la politique française d’exportation irresponsable de sa technologie nucléaire», a estimé Greenpeace France dans un communiqué. Officiellement, la fourniture éventuelle d’un réacteur nucléaire à la Libye n’a qu’un objet strictement civil, le dessalement de l’eau de mer. Sarkozy a affirmé qu’il n’y avait «aucun lien» entre cet accord et la libération des infirmières bulgares, après laquelle il a accepté de se rendre en Libye. «De qui se moque-t-on? La motivation profonde des Etats à accéder au nucléaire a toujours été un enjeu de pouvoir», écrit Greenpeace, citant l’Inde et le Pakistan, la Corée du Nord et l’Iran ainsi que le Brésil. Le réseau d’associations Sortir du nucléaire a dénoncé un «subterfuge»: «Sous prétexte d’aider la Libye à réintégrer le concert des nations, le président français vient de signer un accord pour livrer un réacteur nucléaire au dictateur libyen Kadhafi». Selon le réseau écologiste, «nucléaire civil et militaire sont indissociables», et «livrer du nucléaire civil à la Libye reviendrait à aider ce pays à accéder tôt ou tard à l’arme atomique».

«Cynisme sans limite» de Sarkozy
Du côté de l’opposition, le Parti socialiste a demandé que «toute la lumière soit faite» sur les accords passés avec Mouammar Kadhafi. «Pourquoi autant de précipitation pour signer un protocole d’accord sur le nucléaire civil, sachant que la Libye possède d’immenses gisements de pétrole et de gaz, et que la Libye peut exploiter l’énergie solaire à grande échelle?, a déclaré un dirigeant du PS, Faouzi Lamdaoui. Le nucléaire civil peut être exploité à plus ou moins long terme pour développer des applications militaires.» Il a aussi souhaité que le chef de la diplomatie française Bernard Kouchner vienne s’exprimer devant l’Assemblée nationale sur les conditions de la libération des soignants bulgares, en notant que le ministre paraissait «singulièrement absent dans cette négociation». Mardi, le ministre des Affaires étrangères sera entendu par les députés. Un porte-parole du Quay d’Orsay a assuré pour sa part que le mémorandum signé avec la Libye n’était pas un «accord de circonstance» et respectait l’objectif de non-prolifération nucléaire. Les Verts s’en est pris au «cynisme sans limite» de Nicolas Sarkozy, l’accusant de «jouer avec le feu» en signant un accord avec un «régime non-démocratique». Pour le député vert Noël Mamère, Sarkozy «fait prendre des risques à la planète» en fournissant un réacteur nucléaire au colonel Kadhafi, «patron d’un régime terroriste». «C’est un troc tout simplement, c’est un accord passé sur le dos de la libération de ces infirmières bulgares», conclu «avec un dictateur qui avait faussement accusé ces femmes d’avoir inoculé le sida à des familles libyennes.»
http://www.liberation.fr/actualite/politiques/269245.FR.php
JPTF 26/07/2007